Are The Giants Sneaking Up On Us Again

It’s easy to dismiss the success of the 7-3 New York Giants. The team ranks 23rd in scoring, tied with the 49ers, and is 11th in points allowed; overall, the Giants have outscored opponents by only 4 points all year. In fact, the Giants haven’t won a single game by more than 7 points. Meanwhile, they rank 20th in yards per game and 16th in yards allowed per game and have benefited from a favorable schedule: The team has played only three true road games this year.1The Giants have played six games at home; they also played one game in London, against the Rams.Ahead of Week 11’s games, the Giants ranked 16th in both ESPN’s NFL Power Rankings and Football Outsiders’ Defense-adjusted Value Over Average, and their 6-point home win against a bad Bears team is unlikely to move those needles. And even after Sunday’s win, the Giants rank only 17th in FiveThirtyEight’s NFL Elo ratings.So the Giants are just an average team that has lucked into a good record, right? That’s an easy conclusion, but the Giants have a history of sneaking up on the rest of the NFL, as they did in 2007 and 2011:In 2007, New York was 7-3 through 10 games but imploded in the team’s 11th game. Against Minnesota, Eli Manning threw three pick sixes (he would finish the year with 20 picks, tied for the league lead).In 2011, the Giants through 10 games had scored 228 points and allowed 228 points, leading to a 6-4 record.At the time, neither of those teams seemed very noteworthy, and they finished with 10-6 and 9-7 records, respectively. Our current simulations have this year’s Giants finishing with 9.9 wins, which would put them right in line with those other good but not great Giants teams.Of course, both of those Giants teams wound up winning the Super Bowl. Is there any reason to think this year’s team could similarly surprise in the playoffs? To find out, let’s use expected points added to measure how the Giants have fared in every season (through 10 games) going back to 2006.2The first year for which we have EPA data. And while EPA does not adjust for era, we have adjusted those numbers on a per-play basis to account for those differences. I took an average of the per-play EPA for passing and rushing plays from 2006 to 2016 and then adjusted each season of team EPA data based on how the per-play average in a given season differed from the per-play average overall.Pass offense The 2007 and 2011 Giants were both strong against the run, but this year’s squad is even stronger. The Giants currently rank eighth in rushing yards allowed per game and fifth in yards per carry allowed. The additions of Harrison and Vernon have transformed the defensive line, after the defense ranked in the bottom half of the league in most rushing categories last year.ConclusionThe defense is the clear strength of this year’s Giants team, and it’s in a better position through 10 games than the defenses were during those Super Bowl-winning seasons. That’s a good thing, because unlike in those championship seasons, Eli Manning and the Giants offense are playing at or below league average — not exactly in position to carry a team on a late-season winning streak. So if the Giants make a run for the Super Bowl, it may be less likely to resemble Eli Manning’s two Super Bowl teams and more likely to resemble Eli’s brother’s team last year.Check out our latest NFL predictions. In 2007, the Giants’ offense was centered around Brandon Jacobs and Derrick Ward, with spot appearances by Reuben Droughns and rookie Ahmad Bradshaw. The ground game ranked fourth in yards and yards per carry.But even though the Earth, Wind and Fire Giants carried over their rushing success into 2008, the running game has been more of a weakness than a strength in more recent years. In 2011, the Giants finished dead last in both yards and yards per carry. And once again, the Giants can’t seem to piece together a running game. This season, New York ranks 31st in yards and 30th in yards per carry, with the underwhelming Rashad Jennings the leader in an unimpressive committee. The veteran back is averaging an anemic 3.40 yards per carry, 38th out of 43 qualifying rushers.With this year’s Giants featuring a mediocre passing game and a bad running game, you’ve probably figured out that it’s not the offense carrying the team.Pass defense In 2007, the Giants’ passing attack through 10 games wasn’t very good (and it would only get worse: The team finished the regular season at 22nd in adjusted net yards per attempt and 24th in passer rating). The running game (more on this in a minute) is what powered the team. But Eli Manning had some of his best games in the playoffs, particularly in the first two games.In 2011, the Giants were defined by the passing offense: Manning had one of his best seasons, teaming with wide receivers Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks. Manning again played better in the postseason, particularly in the early rounds.This year? Despite highlights from Manning and Odell Beckham Jr. and the success of rookie Sterling Shepard, the Giants have had a mediocre passing attack. They rank 19th in passing EPA and 16th in ANY/A. There’s obvious upside with Manning and Beckham, but if the Giants go on a Super Bowl run, the data suggests that the passing offense won’t be behind it.Rushing offense The most enduring image of the 2007 Giants is likely the beating that the team gave Tom Brady and the undefeated New England Patriots, but it’s easy to forget that through 10 games, that team was below average against the pass. Same goes for the 2011 version, which was among the worst teams in the league at defending the pass until it got its act together down the stretch.Last year, the pass defense was the Giants’ downfall — the team ranked 28th in EPA and 29th in ANY/A allowed, factors that led to the team finishing 30th in points allowed and last in yards allowed. The Giants finished 6-10, with opposing quarterbacks leading five fourth-quarter comebacks against them and a sixth loss involving another blown lead in the final minute.In the offseason, the Giants spent a ton of money to improve the defense. The team re-signed Jason Pierre-Paul; added Olivier Vernon, Janoris Jenkins and Damon Harrison; and drafted cornerback Eli Apple in the first round. Those additions have paid dividends, and safety Landon Collins, selected 33rd overall last year, has been a huge part of the team’s turnaround. This year, the Giants rank eighth in pass EPA and fifth in ANY/A allowed, and the pass defense is the strength of the team in a way it hasn’t been in years.Rush defense read more

Another big game another big struggle

Ohio State fans thought they could rest easy: The Buckeyes’ big game woes seemed to be over with wins against Oregon in January’s Rose Bowl and Miami (Fla.) at home in September. But alas, Tressel and his boys could not overcome the Camp Randall hoopla and OSU lost Saturday’s game, and its short-lived No. 1 spot, 31-18 against No. 18 Wisconsin. Quarterback Terrelle Pryor looked like he was unable to complete a meaningful pass. The defense allowed Wisconsin to run the ball at will. Special teams gave up a 97-yard touchdown on the opening kickoff. To put it simply, the Buckeyes’ preparation just didn’t pan out. “We’ve got to stop taking stuff for granted,” Pryor said, unwilling to look anyone in the eye after the game. “I wanted to make sure that we stayed focused … and those things I talked about, it happened today.” There were many x-factors reminiscent of recent big-game losses for the Buckeyes, one of which is the 50-percent completion rate for Pryor, who was 14 for 28. In the 2009 Fiesta Bowl, Pryor went 5 for 13 passes, after splitting snaps with then-senior and former starter Todd Boeckman. The then-No. 3 Texas Longhorns beat then-No. 10 OSU 24-21. As a Heisman hopeful and junior leader of the Buckeye squad, Pryor said he felt the weight of the loss on his shoulders after stating he had fully recovered from an injury he suffered during the Illinois game. “I can’t use the quad as an excuse, I had enough that I could run a little bit,” Pryor said. “That’s no excuse at all, I mean, the quad is fine.” It was the Buckeye defense that couldn’t come back from star safety Tyler Moeller’s injury against Illinois, as it gave up 104 yards to Wisconsin running back John Clay. The last time the Buckeyes allowed an opponent more than 100 rushing yards was in another No. 1 matchup on Sept. 13, 2008, when then-No. 5 OSU visited No. 1, Southern California and Joe McKnight racked up 105 yards. In Saturday’s game, the Buckeyes made a run with 18 unanswered points, beginning in the second quarter. But the attempt turned out to be in vain when the Badgers added a touchdown and a field goal in the last seven minutes of the game. “It’s hard to have momentum in somebody else’s house but we had a little bit of momentum,” said coach Jim Tressel about the beginning of the second half. “But, you know, (Wisconsin) delivered.” The loss in momentum, however, that allowed Wisconsin to score the final points was not unlike the loss in momentum with minutes left against USC on Sept. 12, 2009. USC started with the ball on its own 5-yard line and managed to march down the field for a touchdown and 2-point conversion to make the final score 18-15 USC. Running back Brandon Saine, who didn’t see much action until late in the game, said there hadn’t been a mental block for him or his teammates. “I think people were thinking the right things, but you know, coming into the stadium and trying to pull off a win is always hard,” Saine said. “This is one of the toughest places to play ever.” Despite their disappointment, Pryor said the Buckeyes have no reason to give up. “It was a team loss, but we’ll live to fight another day,” Pryor said. read more

South Korea FA warn against big name arrivals

first_imgThe Korea Football Association (KFA) have issued a warning to local media outlets over the potential damage they are causing by linking names such as Louis van Gaal, Andre Villas-Boas and Luiz Felipe Scolari to their managerial post at the national teamCurrent head coach Shin Tae-yong faces an uncertain future in charge of the national side, following their group stage exit at the World Cup – even if that did include a historic 2-1 win over defending champions Germany.Reports have emerged recently in Korea linking several big-name candidates to Tae-yong’s position, but the KFA have now released a statement urging local media to hold back from publishing articles from foreign news sources in regards to South Korea football team.“These rumours have come through foreign media to be reported by the domestic media,” read the statement, via ESPN.“Not only does this cause confusion among fans, it can have a negative impact on negotiations that take place with genuine candidates.”The football association added that they will be issuing no more statement with Kim Pan-gon, head of the KFA’s technical committee, revealing that their current manager will be evaluated amongst the shortlist of candidates they currently have available.Matteo Darmian snubs Solskjaer Taimoor Khan – September 8, 2019 The Manchester United manager was snubbed by Matteo Darmian who heaped praise over the likes of Jose Mourinho and Louis van Gaal.Matteo Darmian has…“We will regard Shin Tae-yong as one of the candidates, and he’ll be up against other candidates being considered,” Kim said.“We will interview these candidates and compare each one of them with Shin before we name the coach.”He added: “We have to play an active style of football, using penetration and forward passing, with stamina at the foundation,”“And the coach should produce results that befit our national team’s status.”last_img read more

Employment Ministry launches consultation for new Employment laws

first_img Related Items:chamber of commerce, employment laws, employment ministry, employment ordinance, labour tribunal, pnp, providenciales TCI Country Leaders condemn vicious memes Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsAppProvidenciales, 18 May 2015 – Consultation started today and so did the announcement blasts from the Providenciales Chamber of Commerce that the Ministry of Border Control and Employment wants to engage the business sector for the next few weeks. The Ministry is working on amending the current Employment Ordinance and explains that, “More specifically, the Employment Ordinance has been subject to a number of criticisms by the courts and there is a need to bring the law into conformity with accurate legal principle. The Ordinance is also out of sync with several important legal developments in employment law and in some instances, inaccurately frames employment law concepts, such as established concepts on dismissal and discrimination. Likewise, there are several contradictions, inconsistencies, repetitions and uncertainties in the current Employment Ordinance.” Sounds like heavy lifting, but as the country modernizes, the PNP Administration believes and has obviously been cautioned that the alterations are necessary. The dispatch to Chamber of Commerce members explains that the proposed changes also focus on: consolidating the existing Orders on wages, hours of work, vacation and redundancy; transfer jurisdiction on cases to the Labour Tribunal or the Commissioner of Labour where appropriate and the Ministry wants to make fresh provision for the regulation of terms of employment, the remuneration of employees, the termination of employment, the hours of work of employees and the resolution of employment disputes. With so many changes proposed, the Administration wants an entirely new Employment Ordinance and as set up an online survey. Nonetheless the consultation will last under a month, once again, a seemingly hurried approach to a potentially longstanding set of laws which will impact every citizen of the country. Consultation Period is May 18 to June 12, 2015. Go to our report at for the link to the survey. Recommended for you Facebook Twitter Google+LinkedInPinterestWhatsApp Opposition Leader responds to Throne Speech  11 days later; says PDM Govt plan puts TCI in ‘deep doo doo’ Olive branch extended by Opposition Leader, says it is time for Turks and Caicos leaders to unitelast_img read more